Welcome to FixMyBias

Are you biased?
Join FixMyBias to find out. FixMyBias will help you identify, measure and reduce your biases.

What are biases?
Biases are distortions in reasoning and judgment that prevent you from seeing the world as it really is. Most people are biased most of the time. The most common and important bias is overconfidence (underestimation of uncertainty), which is the gateway to other biases.

Why should you care?

Because decisions are made under uncertainty, overconfidence and other biases in uncertainty assessment often result in poor decisions and outcomes. The best decisions in business and life are made when uncertainty assessment is reliable, i.e., completely unbiased.

How does FixMyBias work?
You answer questions about future events with probabilities that quantify your uncertainty. FixMyBias compares your responses to the correct answers, when known, and measures your biases quantitatively, providing feedback you need to reduce your biases. Answering training questions can provide immediate bias feedback.

Forecast Questions (13)

Will Texas A&M University make it into the 2026-27 College Football Playoff?
Discrete sports_soccer Sports
Will the Houston Texans make it to the 2027 Super Bowl?
Discrete sports_soccer Sports
Will the U.S. daily average retail gasoline price (regular grade), as reported by AAA, reach $5.00 per gallon on any day before September 1, 2026?
Discrete money_bag Finance
How many named tropical storms will occur in the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season? Tropical storms that later become hurricanes are included in this nu…
Continuous biotech Science
Will Republicans retain a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives after the November 2026 midterm elections?
Discrete account_balance Politics
What will the closing WTI oil price (USD/bbl) be on Tuesday, June 30, 2026?
Continuous money_bag Finance
Which team will win the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
Discrete sports_soccer Sports
Will the United States advance past the group stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Discrete sports_soccer Sports
Will the New York Yankees win the world series in 2026?
Discrete sports_soccer Sports
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 Super Bowl?
Discrete sports_soccer Sports
What will the U.S. rig count be on July 3, 2026?
Continuous memory Technology money_bag Finance
Will the Texas A&M University football team win at least 10 games in the 2026 regular season?
Discrete sports_soccer Sports
Will the U.S. gain governmental control of all or part of Greenland in 2026 by force, purchase, agreement, or some other means?
Discrete how_to_vote Geopolitics